Election 2022 will result in Australians choosing a minority ALP Government.
Many Independents will be elected and the Greens will enhance their numbers.
ALP will win some seats and lose others, leaving them short of a majority.
The cross bench will guarantee supply and undertake not to move motions of no confidence, while honouring key ALP Election commitments & requesting that legislation be passed that implement their own commitments in vital areas such as climate, housing, health, longevity, culture etc.
It will create a long overdue and stable government that achieves progress and prosperity with justice and compassion.
The Coalition will be decimated and divided and in need of total reform as they have self destructed.
The remnants of the Liberal Party will break up, with the Pentecostals separating from the Moderates. The National Party, having lost seats, will have a bitter leadership turmoil. Their extreme right will join with the Pentecostals.
The Palmer and Hanson parties will be reduced to insignificance.
The ALP will be forced to reform itself after two failed campaigns under Shorten and Albanese but they should be able to achieve it without internal blood letting if they have the will to do so.
The Greens have enjoyed a significant resurgence due to their powerful climate change policy which has hugely appealed to Under 30 voters. They have a real chance to win 3 new seats in Brisbane ( Ryan, Griffith and Brisbane), plus Richmond in NSW and Macnamara in Victoria while holding Adam Bandt’s seat of Melbourne.
Independents will deliver a killer blow to the major parties which is why I am personally working hard as a volunteer on the campaign for my friends – Suzie Holt in Groom (Toowoomba) and Kate Hook in Calare (Orange/Bathurst) who are non-political independents of genuine quality.
Tracking this across the continent, the Liberals will lose these seats to them –
Curtin in Western Australia
Boothby in South Australia
Goldstein and Kooyong in Victoria.
Hume, Wentworth, North Sydney, Mackellar & Warringah in NSW
Groom in Queensland.
The Nationals will suffer defeats in –
Hinkler in Queensland,
Page, Cowper & Calare in NSW
Nicholls in Victoria
The Palmer Party will lose Hughes to an Independent and put an end to Craig Kelly’s less than illustrious parliamentary career.
The ALP will lose Fowler in NSW to an Independent. This is the seat where Kenneally was arrogantly parachuted in as candidate against hostile opposition from local ALP.
Existing crossbenchers Haines, Bandt, Wilkie, Sharkie, Steggall and Katter will hold their seats.
ALP will win 6 seats from Liberals but lose 3 as outlined above.
The Greens may get to hold the balance in the Senate while former Queensland Premier Campbell Newman, Rugby legend David Pocock and author Jane Caro are on track to win Senate seats as well. Additionally, my hope is that Senator Rex Patrick will hold his seat in South Australia as he has proved to be a very responsible parliamentarian.
I cannot see Pauline Hanson holding her Senate seat as her star is fading and it I am certain that Clive Palmer will disappear, hopefully forever.
This means that, to have a future, the major parties must reform or die. As they have always rejected reform, it may be the latter.
But, we will have a Parliament where some deadwood has been cleaned out and MP’s of stature will have replaced them.
In this situation, the Governor General will have huge power.
The Constitution does not recognise political parties, nor does it recognise Prime Ministers. I simply says,
‘The Governor General will appoint Ministers’.
Usually, he invites the Leader of the winning party to advise him as to who should become Ministers, but where there is no winner, the power lies entirely with him.
He will seek advice from the Independents and Greens as to whom they wish to be appointed as Prime Minister. They could nominate someone who is not the leader of a Party and the GG will have total power to invite that person to form a government and obtain a vote of confidence in the House of Representatives without asking Parties for approval.
The Independents in their first action of political power, will probably nominate either Jim Chalmers or Tanya Plibersek.
So, why have we reached this point where politics is at its lowest ebb of my lifetime. Indeed, a huge percentage of voters rank it as the lowest of the low?
The cause is that political parties on both right and left are tightly controlled by small groups of power brokers who produce privileges for elite people, while arrogantly insisting that it is all really ultra democratic.
In addition, the less than decent behavior, lack of skills of government and inability to speak the truth as shown by most parliamentarians, simply switches off voters, filling them with disgust.
Its time for all of us to aspire to have a Parliament we can respect and admire for they way it creates a fair and cohesive society.
My hope is that the political carnage that occurs as votes are counted on Saturday evening will begin an era of progressive and enlightened social and economic advancement for all Australians.
This can only be achieved if Australia has a Prime Minister who is neither Scomo nor Albo.
Yours in independence
Everald Compton AO
PS. Be inspired by the vision of the political leaders who founded the new nation of Australia in 1901.
Read my book DINNER WITH THE FOUNDING FATHERS.
Order it on my website https://www.everaldcompton.com